Once all three bookmakers publish odds, you can use the chart above to view odds from all of them at once, weighted, or check an individual market. A betting exchange Betfair Exchange, PredicIt lets people bet against each other. The bookmaker Betway takes less risk but will take a small percentage of winnings. Most election wagers are moneyline bets or straight bets.
For a sporting event, you are bidding on which team will win. For betting on the presidential election, you are bidding on which candidate will win. When comparing the presidential odds, a plus symbol means that the option is an underdog.
2024 US Presidential Election Odds
The minus symbol means the option is a favorite to win. The return on the wager is higher. This is because betting on the US presidential election underdog is seen as a more risky bet.
In this case, news coverage and election polling are common sources of information. Prior to the election, people commonly trusted reliable polling numbers. In particular, polls leading up to the elections predicted the Democrats would gain in the US House of Representatives and would take bake the US Senate. Neither of these occurred. So, how accurate are the betting odds?
How Odds On Elections Are Calculated
If Trump continues to campaign for the election, the odds could continue to be as volatile as they were in because of his unpredictability. Many of the key election dates are set months or years in advance. As of earlyonly топ 5 лучших букмекерских контор украины dates have been set for the election cycle.
Primary dates and convention dates have yet to be set. Here are some of the key dates that could affect polling numbers for the US Presidential election:. Pick the right answers and you could win the "full monty. Seems they picked right; makes sense for such a storied sportsbook. Her background in foreign policy and familiarity with the former VP during the Obama administration certainly lent credence to her chances.
Of course, now we know Harris cinched the pick. Legal sportsbooks in the United States do not offer odds on the United States Presidential Election, or any other political election. This is because betting on politics in the US is prohibited by law.
That said, some familiar US sportsbooks with a presence in other countries offer election betting markets overseas. Note, PointsBet displays their lines in decimal odds. The global sportsbook also has odds, albeit long shot choices, on the two Vice Presidential candidates. Unlike much of the media, PointsBet is putting equal chances for both candidates. In addition to the straight outcome, PointsBet is taking wagers on a handful of US Election prop bets:.
Another possibly familiar name, Betfair runs a betting exchange, which is a bit like taking betting and tossing it down to Wall Street. Like PointsBet, Betfair shows decimal odds and offers most of the same props beyond the outright winner.
Betfair recently announced that Trump vs. Biden U. Election betting market has become the largest single betting event in history, topping enormous events like the Super Bowl and World Cup final.
As of Thursday Oct. Betting fans in New JerseyPennsylvaniaor Indiana should know Unibet by now, which globally is a huge online sportsbook brand. Americans living on the Canadian border may also have some past experience with Unibet, as they offer typical American odds for our northern neighbors.
Update Tue, Nov. At this time, it is illegal to bet on politics in the United States. So, short answer, no. However, DraftKings is running free-to-play pools to guess the outcomes of the US election prop bets.
Check it out today! Some offshore bookmakers offer lines, but we absolutely do not recommend that. If you want to get in on the action, try out DraftKings Election Pool! Illinois Self-Exclusion Program. CO Gambling problem? Call Colorado Self-Exclusion. Iowa Voluntary Self-Exclusion Program. Indiana Self-Restriction Program. NJ Bet with your head, not over it! Gambling Problem? Call Gambler.
New Jersey Self-Exclusion Program. The election is over. This is just a long ego-cushioning landing for reality for a large number of people.
All of this based entirely on votes received on or before Election Day, not even counting late-arriving ballots. In Nevada, Biden has a 36, vote lead and counting, greater than his lead in both Arizona and Georgia combined.
This is what I keep going back to. Challenges will be raised and either accepted or rejected. TheHypnotist 6 months ago [—]. This is very much different for a few reasons.
Trump overtakes Biden as favourite to win US elections: Betfair Exchange
First of all, the issue is purported wide-spread fraudulent activities, of which there is no evidence. Effectively what this is, is yet another misinformation campaign by our President who refuses to accept what is happening. Right, but these rules were decided prior to the election and governed by individual states.
They were challenged in court, but can be appealed. They are certainly not final decisions at this point. MrBuddyCasino 6 months ago [—]. I made a bet on Betway, and they simply canceled it. Tenoke 6 months ago [—]. Any chance you can expand on this or point me to a discussion on the topic?
For those not familiar with UK ставки в live стратегия. Things do happen in the last second and results do change after a match goal in the last second in football, horse falling in horse racing, candidate disqualified, re-scoring.
What is unusual here is for the odds to be this close this late in the game. The money is real, indicating there are many people who think so. Betfair is not open to US users not legal in the US. Some more information the reader may find of interest. Betting exchanges have market makers and heavy automated trading, just like financial exchanges. The price is arbitraged and adjusted in real time between the different exchanges.
The two biggest exchanges after betfair are smarkets and bet The first closed the market and redistributed the money. It means that the betfair market is in free wheel, no more connected to the rest of the world, it can effectively show any price. When I placed my bets, it was over the phone. I asked for "Donald Trump to Win" and the response was pretty much something like "Bet placed for Next president the odds" The fine print will fuck you, but I expect a total shit-storm over this.
This is actually a little more interesting than I originally assumed as the rules clearly state, "This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the presidential election. This is a pure bet on the voting results. I guess they think it prudent to wait and see if the Trump lawsuits hold any merit in the eyes of the courts.
Surely not? Assuming someone will match the bet, it does look like it though. Seems like free money. I guess the market is still open and someone is willing to bet against you. Scaevolus 6 months ago [—]. PapaSpaceDelta 6 months ago [—].
Usually by the end of an in-play sporting event, one will find that there is no liquidity available to bet for the likely winner or against the likely loser and draw if applicable at any price their lowest price is 1. In this case, there are clearly people who are still willing to bet against lay a Biden Presidency, at very long odds.
This is presumably either because they believe that the price adequately compensates for the low probability of it not happening, or to hedge risk that they have accumulated taking other positions while trading in this market more likely IMHO. In this case, if one has already made a profit betting for a Biden Presidency at longer odds than 1.
That Biden does not get elected President, or that he gets elected by the EC but effectively not assumes the office of President e. Список нелегальных букмекерских контор в россии market will be void if an election does not take place in If more than one election takes place inthen this market will apply to the first election that is held.
We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in or beyond. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time.
Additional candidates may be added to this market on request. Please note that candidates in this market will not be partially settled and will remain in the market until it is fully settled. This is to allow customers to continue trading candidates that they have positions on and because each candidate is still a valid runner in this market. The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules.
I put money on Biden in the EU at a promised return rate of 1. The bet was cancelled in the election night shortly after midnight EU, while polls were still open. Odds first went down to 1. I guess they saw "irregular betting patterns" and pulled an emergency brake. No communication from them either. Took a few days to get my money back. Ballots are still being counted last I heard.
Tokkemon 6 months ago [—]. He is projected because it is mathematically impossible for Trump to overtake him with any remaining ballots left to be counted. The actual election will be held on December Source: the U. Instances of voter fraud must be investigated and resolved, then the winner will be officially be decided.
Exactly, previous elections were fairly predictable in what states each candidate would win. In the past, elections had been predicted incorrectly. Some may not know this, but the Chicago Tribune in famously preprinted copies stating that Dewey had defeated Truman in part due to the state-of-the-art election predictions which were straw poles.
Ironic that Gallop rose to prominence from this situation and now history repeats itself in a way meaning that if the poles were correct this election would have been called on election day. These two leaders are Trump buddies. Their intelligence services are top of the world. But at least frustrated Trumpists can process their fragile emotions by downvoting us and wasting their money on hopeless bets. Because the election is far from over. Votes stopped being accepted after Nov. The election is finished.
The counting is not. Same thing. The next President has yet to be decided. Seems pretty decisive to me. Wait and see. Maybe you should bring it to the lawyers who are having their lawsuits thrown out. Trump and his lawyers are learning something. The difference between civil and criminal lawsuits. Then, despite not actually having gone to court, you declare victory.
That does not work in a criminal court. You kind of need an actual crime. And proof of that crime. More than "I believe this to be true. While there may still be some votes to be counted and lawsuits to be settled, even without those, Biden has the most votes and electoral college people at the moment; even if the lawsuits are successful, they only cover a handful of votes, nowhere near the amount needed to flip the vote. But, for betting purposes, I too would hold off with paying out букмекерские конторы в северодонецке everything is properly finalized.
What if one of the candidates suddenly keels or withdraws before the changeover? If the betting company has to reverse course, they could end up in court and end up paying tons. That leads me to the second question. In europe we learn history at school and in books but most of my encounters with educated americans led them to recommend me some hollywood movies to learn about some specific events of their history.
I feel the television has a huge importance in this country and the fact that millions of americans consider it the source of truth even to declare who is the winner of the most important event of their lives strikes me as unbelievable.
American here.
This process is fairly normal and we will know the actual outcome once the electors vote. In many elections we know early on election day because the winners lead is really clear. I also learned history from books and not movies.